Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.338879 3.901434 4.546068 5.343016 6.306722 7.440584 8.884699
2025-01-26 2.637335 3.393286 4.363222 5.715729 7.579625 10.097511 13.824670
2025-02-02 2.240996 3.068691 4.212427 5.942239 8.552661 12.446010 18.890720
2025-02-09 1.986888 2.859776 4.140482 6.211746 9.586187 15.068484 25.091928
2025-02-16 1.755634 2.631766 3.982220 6.292308 10.309652 17.340810 31.389425
2025-02-23 1.581409 2.456570 3.865566 6.400042 11.077459 19.849069 38.916797
2025-03-02 1.410782 2.258554 3.675010 6.335784 11.508337 21.823046 46.031745
2025-03-09 1.299399 2.141227 3.598984 6.455720 12.302345 24.703815 56.193147
2025-03-16 1.179464 1.992115 3.443225 6.393283 12.709920 26.866639 65.480838
2025-03-23 1.082479 1.870934 3.320037 6.370423 13.191203 29.318823 76.545728
2025-03-30 0.986398 1.739615 3.159518 6.242257 13.408587 31.198192 86.829538
2025-04-06 0.931019 1.677937 3.125058 6.374447 14.258317 34.920443 104.542896
2025-04-13 0.841052 1.549706 2.961801 6.244965 14.575578 37.703429 122.203364
2025-04-20 0.809850 1.535888 3.036898 6.691783 16.540674 46.124693 167.209399
2025-04-27 0.767080 1.491750 3.039029 6.963943 18.128225 54.173634 218.387180
2025-05-04 0.732199 1.458908 3.059983 7.288149 19.981396 64.081188 288.803193
2025-05-11 0.685825 1.394860 2.999230 7.385146 21.184549 72.344041 361.047463
2025-05-18 0.646349 1.340919 2.953797 7.514915 22.549137 82.058033 455.329060
2025-05-25 0.599694 1.264908 2.843531 7.437507 23.194537 89.212722 544.230187
2025-06-01 0.569091 1.222434 2.810547 7.582008 24.697600 101.224976 690.404719
2025-06-08 0.531065 1.157928 2.712074 7.506772 25.363985 109.751302 825.475316
2025-06-15 0.498840 1.103851 2.633516 7.479232 26.223518 119.965542 1000.083634
2025-06-22 0.464450 1.040779 2.522578 7.324881 26.523288 127.449507 1166.109206